Optimizing tugboat assignments for risk management in strategic waterways: a case study of the Istanbul strait


Arıcan O. H.

SHIPS AND OFFSHORE STRUCTURES, 2025 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier

Özet

Strategic canals and straits are vital maritime corridors where high traffic density and complex navigation increase the likelihood of accidents and marine pollution. Using the Istanbul Strait as a case example, this study applies a multi-method approach relevant to similar strategic waterways. Vessel traffic risk was analysed in three stages. First, vessels awaiting transit were classified using the K-Means Clustering Algorithm to identify risk-related patterns based on ship characteristics. Second, the Ship Risk Scoring (SRS) method quantified individual vessel hazards, and both methods were compared to determine consistently high-risk ships. Finally, a Linear Programming Model (LPM) was developed to optimise tugboat assignment by aligning vessel risk levels with tug capabilities. The study proposes a risk-based ship-tug allocation flowchart applicable to other straits. The findings show that high-risk vessels 'A' and 'V' were optimally assigned to high-capacity tugs (Kurtarma 2 and Kurtarma 12). This integrated methodology enhances maritime safety in congested waterways.