Rcp – Based Coastal Paradox Modeling at Airports: Does Global Sea-Level Rise Affect Aviation?


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Demir P., ŞAHİN D. R.

Kent Akademisi (Online), cilt.16, sa.2, ss.948-968, 2023 (Hakemli Dergi) identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 16 Sayı: 2
  • Basım Tarihi: 2023
  • Doi Numarası: 10.35674/kent.1189532
  • Dergi Adı: Kent Akademisi (Online)
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.948-968
  • Kocaeli Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Climate change affects every continent, country, city, and sector. The extent of these effects is governed by the period over which they occur, the rate of global warming, and the mitigation actions employed. One of the sectors most affected by climate change is aviation. Climate change may result in mandatory rules such as airport closures, airline route changes, increased operational expenses, and new legal duties, among several other things. Weather events caused by climate change are projected to impact the aviation industry immediately. Storms and excessive temperatures can cause delays, cancellations, and infrastructure disruptions. In the long term, gradual but more permanent effects can occur in temperature change or global sea-level rise, changes in passenger demand, the new aviation hubs, the loss of existing attraction points, and economic repercussions such as infrastructure damage or loss. The effects of climate change restrictions on the aviation sector, particularly airports, are analyzed in this paper. The consequences of rising water levels on airports and future scenarios are examined and projected. Through sample modeling, the future scenarios that a few airports are likely to encounter have been investigated using statistical data. This study uses the Coastline Paradox-based tool to model future global sea level rises. The study's findings are based on projections for 2050-2200. The study, the effects of climate change on aviation have been examined, and airports that will be out of use due to global sea-level rise have been estimated. One of the aims of the study is to raise awareness of aviation authorities and corporations about these devastating consequences and to contribute to their necessary preparations and precautions. The study looked at airports in Europe and America recognized as aviation centers. The applied working techniques and analyses are described in depth.